World Cup Betting Model

Projected Goals

Projected goals are expected goals: the average goals a team would score across many simulations from its attack rating, opponent defense, Elo strength, venue context, and host adjustment. They are not a literal final score.

Pick Scoreline

The displayed scoreline is constrained to the selected betting pick. The model may still know that a draw is a common exact score, but it will not show 1-1 beside a team-win recommendation.

Market Coverage

Polymarket prices appear when an active match market can be found. If the live lookup misses but a previous price was saved, the report shows it as cached; otherwise the match is marked clearly as missing.

Upset Calibration

Final probabilities include a soccer calibration layer that raises low-score draws, compresses heavy favorites, and gives close underdog wins a modest boost before picks and market edges are calculated.

Upcoming

Czechia vs Mexico

Wed, Jun 24 - 6:00 PM PDT | Estadio Azteca, Mexico City

Model Pick

Mexico

Lean | pick score 0-1

1.14Czechia projected goals

1.47Mexico projected goals

1-1most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Czechia: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. Mexico: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Czechia

29.0%

Draw

29.3%

Mexico

41.8%

Polymarket

Czechia28.5%

Draw23.5%

Mexico48.5%

Pick edge-6.7%

Best valueDraw +5.8%

Cached Polymarket (Cached Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/fifwc-cze-mex-2026-06-24))

Mexico 1.5 Spread | model 88.7% | fair -769

Czechia -1.5 Spread | model 11.3% | fair +787

Over 2.5 Total | model 46.5% | fair +115

Under 2.5 Total | model 53.5% | fair -115

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 32.8% | fair +205

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 67.2% | fair -204

Yes BTTS | model 50.8% | fair -103

1-1 Exact score | 14.3% | fair +599

0-1 Exact score | 10.1% | fair +888

0-0 Exact score | 8.6% | fair +1069

Patrik Schick Czechia scorer | model 25.6% | fair +291

Adam Hlozek Czechia scorer | model 15.7% | fair +539

Santiago Gimenez Mexico scorer | model 28.7% | fair +248

Hirving Lozano Mexico scorer | model 21.0% | fair +376

Corner Projections

4.6 Czechia projected corners

5.0 Mexico projected corners

Czechia Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 67.1% | fair -204

Mexico Over 4.5 Team Corners | model 55.8% | fair -127

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 48.8% | fair +105

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 51.2% | fair -105

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1638 Away Elo: 1665 Home attack: 1.00 Away attack: 1.01 Home defense: 0.99 Away defense: 1.00 Host/venue boost: -45 Elo Total Elo delta: -72 Raw W/D/L: 29.2/25.9/44.9% Draw multiplier: 1.06x Low-score draw: 1.13x Favorite compression: 4.0% Close underdog boost: 1.04x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

South Africa vs South Korea

Wed, Jun 24 - 6:00 PM PDT | Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe

Model Pick

South Korea

Lean | pick score 0-1

1.07South Africa projected goals

1.57South Korea projected goals

1-1most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. South Africa: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. South Korea: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

South Africa

25.7%

Draw

28.8%

South Korea

45.5%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

South Korea 1.5 Spread | model 90.6% | fair -1000

South Africa -1.5 Spread | model 9.4% | fair +960

Over 2.5 Total | model 47.1% | fair +112

Under 2.5 Total | model 52.9% | fair -112

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 33.2% | fair +201

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 66.8% | fair -200

Yes BTTS | model 50.9% | fair -104

1-1 Exact score | 14.1% | fair +610

0-1 Exact score | 10.5% | fair +854

1-2 Exact score | 8.8% | fair +1041

Percy Tau South Africa scorer | model 19.2% | fair +421

Evidence Makgopa South Africa scorer | model 15.7% | fair +538

Son Heung-min South Korea scorer | model 35.6% | fair +181

Hwang Hee-chan South Korea scorer | model 23.4% | fair +327

Corner Projections

4.2 South Africa projected corners

5.2 South Korea projected corners

South Africa Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 60.2% | fair -152

South Korea Over 4.5 Team Corners | model 58.9% | fair -143

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 46.0% | fair +118

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 54.0% | fair -118

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1545 Away Elo: 1630 Home attack: 0.94 Away attack: 1.00 Home defense: 0.94 Away defense: 0.98 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: -85 Raw W/D/L: 25.8/25.2/49.0% Draw multiplier: 1.07x Low-score draw: 1.13x Favorite compression: 4.2% Close underdog boost: 1.05x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Japan vs Sweden

Thu, Jun 25 - 4:00 PM PDT | AT&T Stadium, Arlington

Model Pick

Japan

Lean | pick score 1-0

1.44Japan projected goals

1.20Sweden projected goals

1-1most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Japan: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. Sweden: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Japan

39.6%

Draw

29.3%

Sweden

31.2%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

Sweden 1.5 Spread | model 81.0% | fair -435

Japan -1.5 Spread | model 19.0% | fair +427

Over 2.5 Total | model 47.2% | fair +112

Under 2.5 Total | model 52.8% | fair -111

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 33.2% | fair +201

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 66.8% | fair -200

Yes BTTS | model 52.0% | fair -109

1-1 Exact score | 14.3% | fair +599

1-0 Exact score | 9.6% | fair +940

0-1 Exact score | 8.7% | fair +1053

Ayase Ueda Japan scorer | model 25.0% | fair +300

Takumi Minamino Japan scorer | model 19.4% | fair +416

Alexander Isak Sweden scorer | model 27.6% | fair +262

Viktor Gyokeres Sweden scorer | model 25.9% | fair +287

Corner Projections

4.9 Japan projected corners

4.6 Sweden projected corners

Japan Over 4.5 Team Corners | model 53.3% | fair -114

Sweden Over 4.5 Team Corners | model 49.0% | fair +104

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 47.4% | fair +111

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 52.6% | fair -111

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1690 Away Elo: 1650 Home attack: 1.04 Away attack: 1.01 Home defense: 1.01 Away defense: 0.99 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: +40 Raw W/D/L: 42.6/26.0/31.4% Draw multiplier: 1.06x Low-score draw: 1.13x Favorite compression: 4.0% Close underdog boost: 1.04x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Tunisia vs Netherlands

Thu, Jun 25 - 4:00 PM PDT | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City

Model Pick

Netherlands

High | pick score 0-2

0.71Tunisia projected goals

2.30Netherlands projected goals

0-2most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Tunisia: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. Netherlands: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Tunisia

10.6%

Draw

23.1%

Netherlands

66.3%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

Netherlands 1.5 Spread | model 97.4% | fair -3333

Tunisia -1.5 Spread | model 2.6% | fair +3737

Over 2.5 Total | model 54.2% | fair -119

Under 2.5 Total | model 45.8% | fair +119

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 39.3% | fair +155

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 60.7% | fair -154

Yes BTTS | model 41.5% | fair +141

0-2 Exact score | 11.7% | fair +752

1-1 Exact score | 11.5% | fair +771

0-1 Exact score | 10.4% | fair +866

Youssef Msakni Tunisia scorer | model 11.3% | fair +781

Seifeddine Jaziri Tunisia scorer | model 10.7% | fair +833

Cody Gakpo Netherlands scorer | model 39.8% | fair +151

Memphis Depay Netherlands scorer | model 36.9% | fair +171

Corner Projections

3.5 Tunisia projected corners

5.8 Netherlands projected corners

Tunisia Over 2.5 Team Corners | model 67.6% | fair -208

Netherlands Over 5.5 Team Corners | model 53.0% | fair -112

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 45.6% | fair +119

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 54.4% | fair -119

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1560 Away Elo: 1815 Home attack: 0.94 Away attack: 1.13 Home defense: 0.96 Away defense: 1.11 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: -255 Raw W/D/L: 9.8/16.9/73.3% Draw multiplier: 1.15x Low-score draw: 1.23x Favorite compression: 9.8% Close underdog boost: 1.11x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Curacao vs Cote d'Ivoire

Thu, Jun 25 - 4:00 PM PDT | Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia

Model Pick

Cote d'Ivoire

Medium | pick score 0-1

1.00Curacao projected goals

1.67Cote d'Ivoire projected goals

1-1most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Curacao: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. Cote d'Ivoire: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Curacao

22.7%

Draw

28.3%

Cote d'Ivoire

49.0%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

Cote d'Ivoire 1.5 Spread | model 92.2% | fair -1250

Curacao -1.5 Spread | model 7.8% | fair +1179

Over 2.5 Total | model 47.8% | fair +109

Under 2.5 Total | model 52.2% | fair -110

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 33.8% | fair +195

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 66.2% | fair -196

Yes BTTS | model 50.2% | fair -101

1-1 Exact score | 13.9% | fair +620

0-1 Exact score | 10.7% | fair +836

1-2 Exact score | 8.9% | fair +1019

Leandro Bacuna Curacao scorer | model 15.6% | fair +540

Rangelo Janga Curacao scorer | model 13.9% | fair +619

Sebastien Haller Cote d'Ivoire scorer | model 30.8% | fair +225

Simon Adingra Cote d'Ivoire scorer | model 22.2% | fair +350

Corner Projections

3.9 Curacao projected corners

5.2 Cote d'Ivoire projected corners

Curacao Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 54.8% | fair -120

Cote d'Ivoire Over 4.5 Team Corners | model 59.4% | fair -147

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 42.7% | fair +134

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 57.3% | fair -135

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1485 Away Elo: 1595 Home attack: 0.90 Away attack: 0.98 Home defense: 0.90 Away defense: 0.96 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: -110 Raw W/D/L: 22.5/24.3/53.2% Draw multiplier: 1.08x Low-score draw: 1.15x Favorite compression: 5.2% Close underdog boost: 1.06x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Ecuador vs Germany

Thu, Jun 25 - 4:00 PM PDT | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford

Model Pick

Germany

Medium | pick score 0-1

0.95Ecuador projected goals

1.79Germany projected goals

1-1most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Ecuador: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. Germany: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Ecuador

20.1%

Draw

27.6%

Germany

52.3%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

Germany 1.5 Spread | model 93.4% | fair -1429

Ecuador -1.5 Spread | model 6.6% | fair +1421

Over 2.5 Total | model 49.1% | fair +104

Under 2.5 Total | model 50.9% | fair -104

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 34.9% | fair +186

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 65.1% | fair -185

Yes BTTS | model 50.5% | fair -102

1-1 Exact score | 13.6% | fair +636

0-1 Exact score | 10.6% | fair +840

0-2 Exact score | 9.4% | fair +961

Enner Valencia Ecuador scorer | model 21.1% | fair +373

Kendry Paez Ecuador scorer | model 11.6% | fair +761

Kai Havertz Germany scorer | model 31.3% | fair +219

Jamal Musiala Germany scorer | model 24.9% | fair +302

Corner Projections

4.4 Ecuador projected corners

5.8 Germany projected corners

Ecuador Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 63.3% | fair -172

Germany Over 5.5 Team Corners | model 51.6% | fair -106

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 55.7% | fair -127

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 44.3% | fair +126

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1652 Away Elo: 1785 Home attack: 1.00 Away attack: 1.12 Home defense: 1.00 Away defense: 1.08 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: -133 Raw W/D/L: 19.8/23.1/57.1% Draw multiplier: 1.09x Low-score draw: 1.16x Favorite compression: 6.1% Close underdog boost: 1.07x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Turkey vs United States

Thu, Jun 25 - 7:00 PM PDT | SoFi Stadium, Inglewood

Model Pick

United States

Lean | pick score 0-1

1.16Turkey projected goals

1.52United States projected goals

1-1most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Turkey: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. United States: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Turkey

28.8%

Draw

28.9%

United States

42.3%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

United States 1.5 Spread | model 88.7% | fair -769

Turkey -1.5 Spread | model 11.3% | fair +784

Over 2.5 Total | model 48.2% | fair +108

Under 2.5 Total | model 51.8% | fair -108

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 33.9% | fair +195

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 66.1% | fair -196

Yes BTTS | model 54.5% | fair -119

1-1 Exact score | 14.1% | fair +608

0-1 Exact score | 9.8% | fair +925

1-2 Exact score | 8.6% | fair +1067

Kenan Yildiz Turkey scorer | model 18.8% | fair +432

Kerem Akturkoglu Turkey scorer | model 16.9% | fair +491

Christian Pulisic United States scorer | model 28.4% | fair +252

Folarin Balogun United States scorer | model 26.2% | fair +282

Corner Projections

4.8 Turkey projected corners

5.3 United States projected corners

Turkey Over 4.5 Team Corners | model 52.9% | fair -112

United States Over 4.5 Team Corners | model 61.7% | fair -161

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 56.3% | fair -128

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 43.7% | fair +129

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1658 Away Elo: 1685 Home attack: 1.02 Away attack: 1.03 Home defense: 0.98 Away defense: 1.00 Host/venue boost: -45 Elo Total Elo delta: -72 Raw W/D/L: 29.0/25.5/45.5% Draw multiplier: 1.06x Low-score draw: 1.13x Favorite compression: 4.0% Close underdog boost: 1.04x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Paraguay vs Australia

Thu, Jun 25 - 7:00 PM PDT | Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara

Model Pick

Paraguay

Lean | pick score 1-0

1.34Paraguay projected goals

1.22Australia projected goals

1-1most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Paraguay: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. Australia: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Paraguay

36.8%

Draw

29.7%

Australia

33.4%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

Australia 1.5 Spread | model 83.2% | fair -500

Paraguay -1.5 Spread | model 16.8% | fair +495

Over 2.5 Total | model 45.5% | fair +120

Under 2.5 Total | model 54.5% | fair -119

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 32.0% | fair +212

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 68.0% | fair -213

Yes BTTS | model 49.5% | fair +102

1-1 Exact score | 14.5% | fair +590

1-0 Exact score | 9.6% | fair +937

0-1 Exact score | 9.5% | fair +955

Miguel Almiron Paraguay scorer | model 21.5% | fair +365

Julio Enciso Paraguay scorer | model 20.4% | fair +390

Mitchell Duke Australia scorer | model 21.6% | fair +362

Jackson Irvine Australia scorer | model 14.7% | fair +582

Corner Projections

4.5 Paraguay projected corners

4.6 Australia projected corners

Paraguay Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 66.6% | fair -200

Australia Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 66.7% | fair -200

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 42.6% | fair +135

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 57.4% | fair -135

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1628 Away Elo: 1605 Home attack: 0.98 Away attack: 0.97 Home defense: 0.98 Away defense: 0.97 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: +23 Raw W/D/L: 39.7/26.6/33.8% Draw multiplier: 1.06x Low-score draw: 1.12x Favorite compression: 4.0% Close underdog boost: 1.04x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Norway vs France

Fri, Jun 26 - 12:00 PM PDT | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough

Model Pick

France

High | pick score 0-2

0.74Norway projected goals

2.40France projected goals

0-2most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Norway: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. France: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Norway

10.4%

Draw

22.2%

France

67.4%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

France 1.5 Spread | model 97.4% | fair -3333

Norway -1.5 Spread | model 2.6% | fair +3711

Over 2.5 Total | model 56.9% | fair -132

Under 2.5 Total | model 43.1% | fair +132

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 41.1% | fair +143

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 58.9% | fair -143

Yes BTTS | model 46.2% | fair +116

0-2 Exact score | 11.3% | fair +785

1-1 Exact score | 11.1% | fair +802

0-1 Exact score | 9.6% | fair +943

Erling Haaland Norway scorer | model 23.3% | fair +330

Alexander Sorloth Norway scorer | model 13.0% | fair +667

Kylian Mbappe France scorer | model 52.4% | fair -110

Antoine Griezmann France scorer | model 28.5% | fair +251

Corner Projections

4.0 Norway projected corners

6.0 France projected corners

Norway Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 56.2% | fair -128

France Over 5.5 Team Corners | model 55.6% | fair -125

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 54.1% | fair -118

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 45.9% | fair +118

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1645 Away Elo: 1895 Home attack: 1.02 Away attack: 1.21 Home defense: 0.98 Away defense: 1.17 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: -250 Raw W/D/L: 9.6/16.2/74.2% Draw multiplier: 1.15x Low-score draw: 1.23x Favorite compression: 10.0% Close underdog boost: 1.11x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Senegal vs Iraq

Fri, Jun 26 - 12:00 PM PDT | BMO Field, Toronto

Model Pick

Senegal

Medium | pick score 1-0

1.89Senegal projected goals

0.88Iraq projected goals

1-1most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Senegal: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. Iraq: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Senegal

55.6%

Draw

26.9%

Iraq

17.5%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

Iraq 1.5 Spread | model 67.2% | fair -204

Senegal -1.5 Spread | model 32.8% | fair +204

Over 2.5 Total | model 49.6% | fair +101

Under 2.5 Total | model 50.4% | fair -101

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 35.5% | fair +182

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 64.5% | fair -182

Yes BTTS | model 46.5% | fair +115

1-1 Exact score | 13.3% | fair +653

1-0 Exact score | 10.8% | fair +826

2-0 Exact score | 10.1% | fair +890

Sadio Mane Senegal scorer | model 35.3% | fair +183

Nicolas Jackson Senegal scorer | model 26.1% | fair +283

Aymen Hussein Iraq scorer | model 21.2% | fair +371

Zidane Iqbal Iraq scorer | model 10.1% | fair +894

Corner Projections

5.3 Senegal projected corners

3.8 Iraq projected corners

Senegal Over 4.5 Team Corners | model 60.9% | fair -156

Iraq Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 52.0% | fair -109

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 42.0% | fair +138

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 58.0% | fair -137

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1668 Away Elo: 1502 Home attack: 1.02 Away attack: 0.91 Home defense: 1.00 Away defense: 0.91 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: +166 Raw W/D/L: 61.1/21.9/17.0% Draw multiplier: 1.10x Low-score draw: 1.17x Favorite compression: 7.0% Close underdog boost: 1.08x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia

Fri, Jun 26 - 5:00 PM PDT | NRG Stadium, Houston

Model Pick

Saudi Arabia

Lean | pick score 0-1

1.14Cape Verde projected goals

1.44Saudi Arabia projected goals

1-1most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Cape Verde: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. Saudi Arabia: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Cape Verde

29.7%

Draw

29.5%

Saudi Arabia

40.8%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

Saudi Arabia 1.5 Spread | model 88.4% | fair -769

Cape Verde -1.5 Spread | model 11.6% | fair +760

Over 2.5 Total | model 45.8% | fair +118

Under 2.5 Total | model 54.2% | fair -119

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 32.3% | fair +210

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 67.7% | fair -208

Yes BTTS | model 49.7% | fair +101

1-1 Exact score | 14.4% | fair +595

0-1 Exact score | 10.2% | fair +881

0-0 Exact score | 8.8% | fair +1038

Bebe Cape Verde scorer | model 19.5% | fair +413

Ryan Mendes Cape Verde scorer | model 16.7% | fair +500

Salem Al-Dawsari Saudi Arabia scorer | model 23.9% | fair +319

Firas Al-Buraikan Saudi Arabia scorer | model 21.7% | fair +361

Corner Projections

4.3 Cape Verde projected corners

4.5 Saudi Arabia projected corners

Cape Verde Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 62.0% | fair -164

Saudi Arabia Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 65.9% | fair -192

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 38.6% | fair +159

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 61.4% | fair -159

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1505 Away Elo: 1555 Home attack: 0.91 Away attack: 0.95 Home defense: 0.92 Away defense: 0.94 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: -50 Raw W/D/L: 30.0/26.2/43.9% Draw multiplier: 1.06x Low-score draw: 1.12x Favorite compression: 4.0% Close underdog boost: 1.04x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Uruguay vs Spain

Fri, Jun 26 - 5:00 PM PDT | Estadio Akron, Zapopan

Model Pick

Spain

Medium | pick score 0-1

0.98Uruguay projected goals

1.75Spain projected goals

1-1most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Uruguay: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. Spain: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Uruguay

21.1%

Draw

27.8%

Spain

51.1%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

Spain 1.5 Spread | model 92.9% | fair -1250

Uruguay -1.5 Spread | model 7.1% | fair +1312

Over 2.5 Total | model 49.0% | fair +104

Under 2.5 Total | model 51.0% | fair -104

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 34.8% | fair +188

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 65.2% | fair -189

Yes BTTS | model 50.1% | fair +100

1-1 Exact score | 13.7% | fair +631

0-1 Exact score | 10.5% | fair +849

0-2 Exact score | 9.2% | fair +992

Darwin Nunez Uruguay scorer | model 23.2% | fair +332

Federico Valverde Uruguay scorer | model 10.2% | fair +882

Alvaro Morata Spain scorer | model 32.0% | fair +212

Lamine Yamal Spain scorer | model 23.1% | fair +332

Corner Projections

4.2 Uruguay projected corners

5.4 Spain projected corners

Uruguay Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 59.9% | fair -149

Spain Over 4.5 Team Corners | model 61.9% | fair -161

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 48.1% | fair +108

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 51.9% | fair -108

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1740 Away Elo: 1865 Home attack: 1.08 Away attack: 1.18 Home defense: 1.06 Away defense: 1.15 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: -125 Raw W/D/L: 20.8/23.5/55.7% Draw multiplier: 1.09x Low-score draw: 1.15x Favorite compression: 5.8% Close underdog boost: 1.06x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Egypt vs IR Iran

Fri, Jun 26 - 8:00 PM PDT | Lumen Field, Seattle

Model Pick

Egypt

Lean | pick score 1-0

1.28Egypt projected goals

1.32IR Iran projected goals

1-1most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Egypt: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. IR Iran: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Egypt

35.6%

Draw

29.5%

IR Iran

34.9%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

IR Iran 1.5 Spread | model 84.7% | fair -556

Egypt -1.5 Spread | model 15.3% | fair +553

Over 2.5 Total | model 46.4% | fair +115

Under 2.5 Total | model 53.6% | fair -115

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 32.6% | fair +206

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 67.4% | fair -208

Yes BTTS | model 49.0% | fair +104

1-1 Exact score | 14.4% | fair +593

1-0 Exact score | 9.6% | fair +941

0-1 Exact score | 9.1% | fair +998

Mohamed Salah Egypt scorer | model 32.8% | fair +205

Trezeguet Egypt scorer | model 18.5% | fair +439

Mehdi Taremi IR Iran scorer | model 29.9% | fair +234

Sardar Azmoun IR Iran scorer | model 24.2% | fair +314

Corner Projections

4.5 Egypt projected corners

4.3 IR Iran projected corners

Egypt Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 66.5% | fair -200

IR Iran Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 62.8% | fair -169

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 39.6% | fair +153

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 60.4% | fair -154

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1620 Away Elo: 1625 Home attack: 0.99 Away attack: 0.99 Home defense: 0.97 Away defense: 0.98 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: -5 Raw W/D/L: 36.0/26.4/37.6% Draw multiplier: 1.06x Low-score draw: 1.12x Favorite compression: 4.0% Close underdog boost: 1.04x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

New Zealand vs Belgium

Fri, Jun 26 - 8:00 PM PDT | BC Place, Vancouver

Model Pick

Belgium

High | pick score 0-2

0.69New Zealand projected goals

2.43Belgium projected goals

0-2most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. New Zealand: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. Belgium: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

New Zealand

9.5%

Draw

21.7%

Belgium

68.9%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

Belgium 1.5 Spread | model 97.8% | fair -5000

New Zealand -1.5 Spread | model 2.2% | fair +4354

Over 2.5 Total | model 56.4% | fair -130

Under 2.5 Total | model 43.6% | fair +130

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 40.8% | fair +145

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 59.2% | fair -145

Yes BTTS | model 43.3% | fair +131

0-2 Exact score | 11.8% | fair +745

1-1 Exact score | 10.8% | fair +827

0-1 Exact score | 9.9% | fair +908

Chris Wood New Zealand scorer | model 19.2% | fair +422

Matthew Garbett New Zealand scorer | model 7.9% | fair +1165

Romelu Lukaku Belgium scorer | model 49.3% | fair +103

Kevin De Bruyne Belgium scorer | model 25.3% | fair +296

Corner Projections

3.5 New Zealand projected corners

6.2 Belgium projected corners

New Zealand Over 2.5 Team Corners | model 68.1% | fair -213

Belgium Over 5.5 Team Corners | model 57.9% | fair -137

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 49.9% | fair +100

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 50.1% | fair +100

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1495 Away Elo: 1765 Home attack: 0.90 Away attack: 1.10 Home defense: 0.91 Away defense: 1.07 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: -270 Raw W/D/L: 8.6/15.6/75.8% Draw multiplier: 1.15x Low-score draw: 1.23x Favorite compression: 10.4% Close underdog boost: 1.11x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Panama vs England

Sat, Jun 27 - 2:00 PM PDT | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford

Model Pick

England

High | pick score 0-2

0.60Panama projected goals

2.80England projected goals

0-2most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Panama: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. England: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Panama

6.2%

Draw

17.2%

England

76.5%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

England 1.5 Spread | model 98.7% | fair -10000

Panama -1.5 Spread | model 1.3% | fair +7649

Over 2.5 Total | model 62.3% | fair -167

Under 2.5 Total | model 37.7% | fair +165

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 45.1% | fair +122

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 54.9% | fair -122

Yes BTTS | model 38.1% | fair +162

0-2 Exact score | 12.1% | fair +727

0-3 Exact score | 11.3% | fair +787

0-1 Exact score | 8.8% | fair +1033

Jose Fajardo Panama scorer | model 10.7% | fair +834

Jose Luis Rodriguez Panama scorer | model 7.5% | fair +1241

Harry Kane England scorer | model 56.8% | fair -132

Bukayo Saka England scorer | model 36.1% | fair +177

Corner Projections

3.4 Panama projected corners

6.4 England projected corners

Panama Over 2.5 Team Corners | model 66.1% | fair -196

England Over 5.5 Team Corners | model 61.7% | fair -161

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 51.8% | fair -108

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 48.2% | fair +107

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1515 Away Elo: 1845 Home attack: 0.92 Away attack: 1.16 Home defense: 0.92 Away defense: 1.14 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: -330 Raw W/D/L: 5.4/11.8/82.8% Draw multiplier: 1.16x Low-score draw: 1.24x Favorite compression: 12.0% Close underdog boost: 1.12x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Croatia vs Ghana

Sat, Jun 27 - 2:00 PM PDT | Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia

Model Pick

Croatia

Medium | pick score 1-0

1.88Croatia projected goals

0.90Ghana projected goals

1-1most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Croatia: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. Ghana: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Croatia

55.1%

Draw

27.0%

Ghana

17.9%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

Ghana 1.5 Spread | model 67.6% | fair -208

Croatia -1.5 Spread | model 32.4% | fair +208

Over 2.5 Total | model 49.8% | fair +101

Under 2.5 Total | model 50.2% | fair -101

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 35.6% | fair +181

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 64.4% | fair -182

Yes BTTS | model 49.9% | fair +101

1-1 Exact score | 13.3% | fair +651

1-0 Exact score | 10.7% | fair +834

2-0 Exact score | 10.0% | fair +904

Andrej Kramaric Croatia scorer | model 31.4% | fair +219

Ivan Perisic Croatia scorer | model 21.7% | fair +361

Mohammed Kudus Ghana scorer | model 16.4% | fair +509

Inaki Williams Ghana scorer | model 14.1% | fair +607

Corner Projections

5.3 Croatia projected corners

3.8 Ghana projected corners

Croatia Over 4.5 Team Corners | model 60.3% | fair -152

Ghana Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 52.8% | fair -112

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 42.1% | fair +137

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 57.9% | fair -137

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1745 Away Elo: 1585 Home attack: 1.07 Away attack: 0.97 Home defense: 1.06 Away defense: 0.95 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: +160 Raw W/D/L: 60.5/22.0/17.4% Draw multiplier: 1.10x Low-score draw: 1.17x Favorite compression: 6.9% Close underdog boost: 1.08x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Colombia vs Portugal

Sat, Jun 27 - 4:30 PM PDT | Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens

Model Pick

Portugal

Medium | pick score 0-1

0.99Colombia projected goals

1.78Portugal projected goals

1-1most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Colombia: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. Portugal: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Colombia

21.1%

Draw

27.6%

Portugal

51.2%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

Portugal 1.5 Spread | model 92.8% | fair -1250

Colombia -1.5 Spread | model 7.2% | fair +1297

Over 2.5 Total | model 49.9% | fair +100

Under 2.5 Total | model 50.1% | fair +100

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 35.4% | fair +182

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 64.6% | fair -182

Yes BTTS | model 51.3% | fair -105

1-1 Exact score | 13.6% | fair +636

0-1 Exact score | 10.3% | fair +874

1-2 Exact score | 9.1% | fair +1004

Luis Diaz Colombia scorer | model 18.8% | fair +432

Jhon Duran Colombia scorer | model 14.7% | fair +582

Cristiano Ronaldo Portugal scorer | model 38.2% | fair +162

Goncalo Ramos Portugal scorer | model 27.4% | fair +265

Corner Projections

4.3 Colombia projected corners

5.4 Portugal projected corners

Colombia Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 63.1% | fair -172

Portugal Over 4.5 Team Corners | model 62.7% | fair -169

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 51.0% | fair -104

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 49.0% | fair +104

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1705 Away Elo: 1825 Home attack: 1.05 Away attack: 1.15 Home defense: 1.01 Away defense: 1.11 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: -120 Raw W/D/L: 20.9/23.2/55.9% Draw multiplier: 1.09x Low-score draw: 1.16x Favorite compression: 5.8% Close underdog boost: 1.06x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

DR Congo vs Uzbekistan

Sat, Jun 27 - 4:30 PM PDT | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta

Model Pick

DR Congo

Lean | pick score 1-0

1.35DR Congo projected goals

1.24Uzbekistan projected goals

1-1most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. DR Congo: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. Uzbekistan: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

DR Congo

36.7%

Draw

29.6%

Uzbekistan

33.8%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

Uzbekistan 1.5 Spread | model 83.2% | fair -500

DR Congo -1.5 Spread | model 16.8% | fair +496

Over 2.5 Total | model 46.2% | fair +116

Under 2.5 Total | model 53.8% | fair -116

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 32.5% | fair +208

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 67.5% | fair -208

Yes BTTS | model 50.2% | fair -101

1-1 Exact score | 14.4% | fair +592

1-0 Exact score | 9.4% | fair +959

0-1 Exact score | 9.4% | fair +968

Yoane Wissa DR Congo scorer | model 24.7% | fair +304

Cedric Bakambu DR Congo scorer | model 21.6% | fair +363

Eldor Shomurodov Uzbekistan scorer | model 26.6% | fair +276

Oston Urunov Uzbekistan scorer | model 15.9% | fair +528

Corner Projections

4.6 DR Congo projected corners

4.4 Uzbekistan projected corners

DR Congo Over 4.5 Team Corners | model 49.6% | fair +102

Uzbekistan Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 64.2% | fair -179

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 42.0% | fair +138

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 58.0% | fair -139

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1520 Away Elo: 1500 Home attack: 0.93 Away attack: 0.92 Home defense: 0.92 Away defense: 0.91 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: +20 Raw W/D/L: 39.5/26.4/34.1% Draw multiplier: 1.06x Low-score draw: 1.12x Favorite compression: 4.0% Close underdog boost: 1.04x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Algeria vs Austria

Sat, Jun 27 - 7:00 PM PDT | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City

Model Pick

Austria

Lean | pick score 0-1

1.10Algeria projected goals

1.53Austria projected goals

1-1most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Algeria: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. Austria: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Algeria

27.1%

Draw

28.9%

Austria

44.0%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

Austria 1.5 Spread | model 89.8% | fair -909

Algeria -1.5 Spread | model 10.2% | fair +876

Over 2.5 Total | model 47.2% | fair +112

Under 2.5 Total | model 52.8% | fair -112

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 33.2% | fair +201

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 66.8% | fair -200

Yes BTTS | model 51.6% | fair -106

1-1 Exact score | 14.1% | fair +607

0-1 Exact score | 10.3% | fair +874

1-2 Exact score | 8.7% | fair +1053

Riyad Mahrez Algeria scorer | model 22.4% | fair +347

Amine Gouiri Algeria scorer | model 17.1% | fair +486

Marko Arnautovic Austria scorer | model 27.5% | fair +263

Christoph Baumgartner Austria scorer | model 23.0% | fair +336

Corner Projections

4.4 Algeria projected corners

5.3 Austria projected corners

Algeria Over 3.5 Team Corners | model 64.6% | fair -182

Austria Over 4.5 Team Corners | model 60.5% | fair -154

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 50.4% | fair -102

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 49.6% | fair +102

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1600 Away Elo: 1678 Home attack: 0.98 Away attack: 1.01 Home defense: 0.96 Away defense: 1.00 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: -78 Raw W/D/L: 27.3/25.5/47.3% Draw multiplier: 1.06x Low-score draw: 1.13x Favorite compression: 4.0% Close underdog boost: 1.04x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Jordan vs Argentina

Sat, Jun 27 - 7:00 PM PDT | AT&T Stadium, Arlington

Model Pick

Argentina

High | pick score 0-3

0.48Jordan projected goals

3.52Argentina projected goals

0-3most common exact score

The pick score is the most likely scoreline that agrees with the model pick.

Availability status: Baseline. Jordan: No lineup data; using baseline team rating. Argentina: No lineup data; using baseline team rating.

Jordan

2.7%

Draw

9.9%

Argentina

87.4%

Polymarket

StatusNo active match market found

Argentina 1.5 Spread | model 99.5% | fair -10000

Jordan -1.5 Spread | model 0.5% | fair +21623

Over 2.5 Total | model 73.7% | fair -278

Under 2.5 Total | model 26.3% | fair +281

Over 1.5 1H Total | model 53.7% | fair -116

Under 1.5 1H Total | model 46.3% | fair +116

Yes BTTS | model 30.9% | fair +224

0-3 Exact score | 12.7% | fair +687

0-4 Exact score | 11.2% | fair +793

0-2 Exact score | 10.8% | fair +824

Mousa Al-Taamari Jordan scorer | model 10.9% | fair +818

Yazan Al-Naimat Jordan scorer | model 10.5% | fair +855

Lautaro Martinez Argentina scorer | model 58.6% | fair -141

Lionel Messi Argentina scorer | model 53.9% | fair -118

Corner Projections

3.2 Jordan projected corners

6.3 Argentina projected corners

Jordan Over 2.5 Team Corners | model 62.8% | fair -169

Argentina Over 5.5 Team Corners | model 60.8% | fair -154

Over 9.5 Total Corners | model 48.9% | fair +105

Under 9.5 Total Corners | model 51.1% | fair -104

Corners use separate team corner-for, corner-against, and tempo profiles with a small match-pressure adjustment. They are not derived from projected goals alone.

Home Elo: 1480 Away Elo: 1905 Home attack: 0.90 Away attack: 1.22 Home defense: 0.90 Away defense: 1.18 Host/venue boost: +0 Elo Total Elo delta: -425 Raw W/D/L: 2.3/6.5/91.2% Draw multiplier: 1.16x Low-score draw: 1.24x Favorite compression: 12.0% Close underdog boost: 1.12x Home availability attack: +0.0% Home availability defense: +0.0% Away availability attack: +0.0% Away availability defense: +0.0%

Results

Match	Final	Model Pick	Model Prob	Polymarket Edge Pick	Edge Pick Prob	Edge Detail	Actual	Projected Goals	Source
Portugal vs DR Congo	Pending	Portugal	73.5%	Draw	18.9%	market 17.5% \| edge +1.4%	Pending	2.66-0.65	pending
England vs Croatia	Pending	England	48.2%	Croatia	23.4%	market 17.5% \| edge +5.9%	Pending	1.65-1.02	pending
Ghana vs Panama	Pending	Ghana	43.5%	Ghana	43.5%	market 41.5% \| edge +2.0%	Pending	1.52-1.10	pending
Uzbekistan vs Colombia	Pending	Colombia	60.1%	Draw	25.4%	market 19.5% \| edge +5.9%	Pending	0.83-2.08	pending
Czechia vs South Africa	Pending	Czechia	46.4%	South Africa	24.8%	market 20.5% \| edge +4.3%	Pending	1.59-1.04	pending
Canada vs Qatar	Pending	Canada	47.4%	Qatar	24.1%	market 8.5% \| edge +15.6%	Pending	1.63-1.03	pending
Mexico vs South Korea	Pending	Mexico	42.9%				Pending	1.51-1.12	pending
Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina	Pending	Switzerland	53.3%				Pending	1.81-0.92	pending
Scotland vs Morocco	Pending	Morocco	44.6%	Scotland	26.5%	market 17.5% \| edge +9.0%	Pending	1.08-1.54	pending
Brazil vs Haiti	Pending	Brazil	81.6%	Draw	13.9%	market 7.8% \| edge +6.0%	Pending	3.10-0.55	pending
Turkey vs Paraguay	Pending	Turkey	38.3%				Pending	1.40-1.22	pending
United States vs Australia	Pending	United States	48.8%	Draw	28.3%	market 21.5% \| edge +6.8%	Pending	1.67-1.01	pending
Netherlands vs Sweden	Pending	Netherlands	56.1%	Draw	26.7%	market 23.5% \| edge +3.2%	Pending	1.92-0.88	pending
Germany vs Cote d'Ivoire	Pending	Germany	59.2%				Pending	2.05-0.85	pending
Ecuador vs Curacao	Pending	Ecuador	55.5%				Pending	1.88-0.87	pending
Tunisia vs Japan	Pending	Japan	50.7%	Tunisia	21.2%	market 13.5% \| edge +7.7%	Pending	0.96-1.72	pending
Spain vs Saudi Arabia	Pending	Spain	74.3%	Draw	18.5%	market 8.5% \| edge +10.0%	Pending	2.69-0.63	pending
Belgium vs IR Iran	Pending	Belgium	53.0%	IR Iran	19.6%	market 11.5% \| edge +8.1%	Pending	1.81-0.94	pending
Uruguay vs Cape Verde	Pending	Uruguay	64.3%				Pending	2.22-0.74	pending
New Zealand vs Egypt	Pending	Egypt	50.5%	New Zealand	21.4%	market 16.5% \| edge +4.9%	Pending	0.96-1.72	pending
Argentina vs Austria	Pending	Argentina	65.0%	Argentina	65.0%	market 61.5% \| edge +3.5%	Pending	2.28-0.75	pending
France vs Iraq	Pending	France	84.3%	Draw	12.1%	market 7.5% \| edge +4.6%	Pending	3.28-0.52	pending
Norway vs Senegal	Pending	Senegal	37.1%	Senegal	37.1%	market 30.5% \| edge +6.6%	Pending	1.26-1.38	pending
Jordan vs Algeria	Pending	Algeria	49.9%	Jordan	21.9%	market 15.5% \| edge +6.4%	Pending	0.98-1.70	pending
Portugal vs Uzbekistan	Pending	Portugal	75.9%	Draw	17.6%	market 13.5% \| edge +4.1%	Pending	2.78-0.62	pending
England vs Ghana	Pending	England	68.2%	Draw	21.9%	market 14.5% \| edge +7.4%	Pending	2.41-0.71	pending
Panama vs Croatia	Pending	Croatia	63.3%	Draw	24.3%	market 23.5% \| edge +0.8%	Pending	0.76-2.18	pending
Colombia vs DR Congo	Pending	Colombia	57.7%	DR Congo	16.2%	market 12.5% \| edge +3.7%	Pending	1.99-0.87	pending
Scotland vs Brazil	Pending	Brazil	63.1%	Draw	24.2%	market 18.5% \| edge +5.7%	Pending	0.78-2.21	pending
Morocco vs Haiti	Pending	Morocco	62.9%	Draw	24.5%	market 15.5% \| edge +9.0%	Pending	2.16-0.76	pending
Czechia vs Mexico	Pending	Mexico	41.8%	Draw	29.3%	market 23.5% \| edge +5.8%	Pending	1.14-1.47	pending
South Africa vs South Korea	Pending	South Korea	45.5%				Pending	1.07-1.57	pending
Canada vs Switzerland	Pending	Switzerland	41.3%	Switzerland	41.3%	market 39.5% \| edge +1.8%	Pending	1.14-1.45	pending
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar	Pending	Qatar	35.7%				Pending	1.31-1.29	pending
Japan vs Sweden	Pending	Japan	39.6%				Pending	1.44-1.20	pending
Tunisia vs Netherlands	Pending	Netherlands	66.3%				Pending	0.71-2.30	pending
Curacao vs Cote d'Ivoire	Pending	Cote d'Ivoire	49.0%				Pending	1.00-1.67	pending
Ecuador vs Germany	Pending	Germany	52.3%				Pending	0.95-1.79	pending
Turkey vs United States	Pending	United States	42.3%				Pending	1.16-1.52	pending
Paraguay vs Australia	Pending	Paraguay	36.8%				Pending	1.34-1.22	pending
Norway vs France	Pending	France	67.4%				Pending	0.74-2.40	pending
Senegal vs Iraq	Pending	Senegal	55.6%				Pending	1.89-0.88	pending
Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia	Pending	Saudi Arabia	40.8%				Pending	1.14-1.44	pending
Uruguay vs Spain	Pending	Spain	51.1%				Pending	0.98-1.75	pending
Egypt vs IR Iran	Pending	Egypt	35.6%				Pending	1.28-1.32	pending
New Zealand vs Belgium	Pending	Belgium	68.9%				Pending	0.69-2.43	pending
Panama vs England	Pending	England	76.5%				Pending	0.60-2.80	pending
Croatia vs Ghana	Pending	Croatia	55.1%				Pending	1.88-0.90	pending
Colombia vs Portugal	Pending	Portugal	51.2%				Pending	0.99-1.78	pending
DR Congo vs Uzbekistan	Pending	DR Congo	36.7%				Pending	1.35-1.24	pending
Algeria vs Austria	Pending	Austria	44.0%				Pending	1.10-1.53	pending
Jordan vs Argentina	Pending	Argentina	87.4%				Pending	0.48-3.52	pending